Nicole was my favorite member in Kara, but I was relieved that she was leaving the group. Now it has officially been confirmed that she will make a solo comeback under Butt 2 Munch Entertainment. I didn't even think she would get a real opportunity to go solo, but it actually is happening.
The first two things that people will say is that "If she has a good song, she'll do well," and "Sunmi went solo and became successful, so can Nicole." Sure, a good song is always helpful. Sure, Sunmi isn't a vocal powerhouse, but she became successful because of "24 Hours." However, I don't think Nicole and Sunmi are comparable at all given each of the girl's circumstances. Unlike Sunmi, I think Nicole will bomb with her solo debut because Nicole is hated by Koreans, she is a "rapper," her replacement in popular unlike Sunmi's, and her agency isn't powerful.
Nicole's first strike is that she is American. Koreans have a tendency to treat "unpure" Koreans like shit, and Nicole always has and always will receive shit for being American. On top of that, Nicole still can't speak Korean at an educated level, and while Koreans found it charming during her Star Golden Bell stint, Nicole has been in Korea for almost ten years and still hasn't surpassed a conversational level in Korean. Meanwhile, Sunmi is Korean-Korean and speaks Korean at a native level of fluency. Koreans are more accepting of Sunmi because she is one of them while Nicole is a perceptual foreigner.
On top of being a foreigner, Nicole held the worst position in a K-pop group: the rapper. Whoops, I mean the "rapper."
Sure, Nicole has a great ass, a lovable (on-screen) personality, and a title track produced by Sweetune, but I find the odds too stacked against her. I want a jam from Sweetune, preferably showcasing some ass shaking and excluding Nicole's shitty rapping. However, I don't see her song(s) doing well and I believe she will have a short solo career.
She can always marry me in a couple of years when I finish graduate school if things don't work out for her. (Don't kill me, TuElite.)